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Friday, August 7, 2020

MAUTAM AND MIZO INSURGENCY

Rats and Kyats: Bamboo Flowering Causes a Hunger Belt in Chin State, Burma

 Mautam is a vary pessimistic word and using this as my title of the blog is very unfortunate for me as well.See,for the insurgency is Mizoram the primary cause can be attributed to "MAUTAM" and government failure in handling the North Eastern areas.See,Mautam is nothing but a cyclic ecological phenomenon which occurs once in nearly 50 years and it basically refers to simultaneous flowering of Bamboo.

So the question here is how come flowering of bamboo attributed to Mautam. See,the answer is very simple Mizo insurgency is rooted in the famine which they witnessed in the year 1959-60.So,the abundance of the bamboo flower produce huge quantity of seed which falls to the ground and becomes rapidly available as food for rodents such as rats.So the abundant availability of bamboo seeds in the ground resulted in an explosion of rat population and once these rats completely consume these seeds they turn their attention to agriculture crops which resulted  in occurrence of famine condition and severe shortage of food.

this cycological  ecological phenomenon known as "Mautam" is seen in Mizoram,Manipur,and parts of Myanmar.So,this severe famine seen in Mizoram in late 1959 and early 1960 lead to severe shortage of food and number of death ,the local Mizo tribe was severely affected and they blame government neglect for this.So,this lead the mizos to hold the dissatisfaction against the government of India and local administration and thus laying the foundation of Mizo National Front(MNF) which took up the armed insurgency against the government of India.

This violent insurgency movement was a separatist movement which was seeking to liberate Mizoram from Indian Union and it remained active for nearly two decade.Finally in 1986,through effective center insurgency operation and through negotiations,the MNF was brought to negotiation table by government of India and historic Mizo peace accord was signed which today has brought MNF to mainstream politics.Infact Mizoram happens to be first state in North East India where insurgency was brought to an end back in 1980's.Back then the MNF was sponsored by China as well as Pakistan by making safe heaven which was established in East Pakistan. .  

Saturday, August 1, 2020

RADICALIZATION AND PAKISTAN

Pakistan: Mansoora, the fountainhead of religious extremism ...



See,Pakistan has deliberately promoted radicalism and terrorism in its country as well as neighborhood as part of state policy.They embraced radicalism and terrorism as state policy in order to wage a proxy war against its enemy.Pakistan has supported radicalism of their country and nurtured so many terrorists in order to achieve its geopolitical goals.

It can be dated back immediately after 1947,Pakistan supported tribal militias in order to occupy parts in J&K as part of first proxy war against India.Than in 1960,Pakistan is known to be supported lot of India based outfits such as naxal,north east insurgents etc.

But,Pakistan first major entry in religion based proxy war was in Afghanistan in 1980.This was the period of cold war(bilateral world).This was the time when Soviet Union invaded Afghanistan and occupied it.Since,this was the cold war era,USA decided to make use of this opportunity and in collaboration with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan,they created Mujaheddin,in order to challenge Soviet invasion.In this proxy war with USA,Pakistan played a key role,while money and weapon were coming from USA and Saudi Arabia.It was Pakistan which played a key role in training and arming the afghan Mujaheddin as a form of resistance against Soviet Union.

During this period Pakistan emerged as a key ally of major countries and started receiving huge sums of money as funding as well large supply of weapon.So,they started diverting part of money to wage a religion based proxy war against India by establishing lot of anti India terror outfit.Initially Pakistan experimented with supporting Khalistan movement.Later Pakistan Army and ISI played a key role in insurgency in Kashmir by establishing lot of Anti India terror outfit such as JEM,LET,HM.In order to create ready pool of recruitment for these terror outfit,Pakistan government deliberately supported the radicalization of its own society.

So,from 1970 till date,the support given by their government to radicalism has ended up in creating deep divide in their society.This has lead to rise of radical form of Islam,such as Salafism and Wahabism  and this has ended in affecting the minority community of Pakistan.This has lead to ethnic persecution in their own country such as Ahmadias,Sufis,Hazaras. 
Over the year Pakistan dependency on proxy war as its state policy and deliberately misinterpretation
of religion,in order to promote radicalization has ended up giving birth to number of terror outfit that are today targeting Pakistan state itself.

This has lead Pakistan to distinct between good terrorism and bad terrorism,the LET,HM,Haqqani network ,Taliban are considered by them as good terrorism as they have pushed them to achieve their geopolitical goals.The Taliban has made Pakistan relevant in Afghanistan and global Geo politics.So,for this reason Pakistan has not only tolerated them but also nurtured them.
\The flawed and dangerous strategy of Pakistan has also given birth to other terror outfit such as TTP(Tahreeke Taliban Pakistan) and considered by them as bad terrorism because the government has no longer been able to control them and they repeatedly target the Pakistan army ,government and minority.  

Friday, July 31, 2020

USA AND AFGHANISTAN DEAL:WHY INDIA IS BEING SIDELINE?

US-Afghan peace deal relies on old flaws, dated assumptions ...

See,after 9/11, when tali-bani government fell,India immediately stepped up to show its diplomatic presence in Afghanistan and has invested billions of dollars and extended complete support to Afghanistan civil court and has sponsored Afghan's parliament,Selma Dam,embassies, consulate,roads,electricity,schools etc.So,ever since the negotiation process begin,India has been objectifying to it,because USA government bypass the civil government and directly deal with Taliban. Our government considers that these radicals should not be given complete legitimacy.

India has always considered Taliban as just another terrorist organisation and it has some valid reasons-

1)Hijacking of IC-814j(Kandahar hijacking),as the flight landed in Kandahar,the tali-bani sheltered and protected the hijackers.As a result of that we had to trade Omar Saeed Sheikh(beheaded Daniel Pearl on live camera)and Masood Azhar who later founded the Jem(Jaish e Mohammad),who were also later involved in 26/11 attacks in return of Indian hostages.

2)The Haqqani network which is a fraction of Taliban carry out many attacks in embassies and consulates of Indian government in Afghanistan and also hamper the development projects,schools etc.

As a result of this hostility,India has even covertly supported the northern alliance in Afghanistan.
See,Northern Alliance were group of tribal militia operating in tribal parts of Afghanistan,who raised their guns against Taliban and were also supported by Russia,USA and  Iran.See,the world knows who raised Mujaheddin ,who got wings and later transformed into tali-bans.And even after seventeen years of war with Taliban in Afghanistan USA had not been able to curb the menace of Taliban and ended up in negotiation table with Taliban.

THE DEAL

See,the problem is Afghanistan does not have any stable government.People there have lost their faith in governance and this can be evident from the fact as there only few voters turnout not due to Taliban threat but,due to their disinterest.So,the very purpose of the deal is to bring peace in the war affected zones of Afghanistan and to make Taliban and the Ashraf Ghani government there to sit on the negotiation table to come up with a proper governance system.Its not only USA who is involved in the negotiation process actually it  USA,RUSSIA,IRAN,CHINA,PAKISTAN,TAJIKISTAN,UZBEKISTAN and TURKMENISTAN who are currently involved and thus named 6+2+1 agreement.

See,India being excluded from the negotiation process,may be possible due to Pakistan's presence as the world knows Taliban are now operated by ISI and they don't want India to be part of negotiation process.The Taliban initially agreed but after few days of this deal,attack on Gurudwara. The ethnic groups and minorities there are still persecuted by Taliban and even after all this India allowed the minorities of Afghanistan i.e Hindus and Sikhs to give citizenship.

See,even after this deal happens without India's involvement,considering Taliban as a legit group in Afghanistan and to hold negotiation meetings will not serve India's purpose as the result of the hostility in the past.But,India should keep an eye on deal as it further progresses as Afghanistan is strategically important for us because it is a gateway for us to connect to the European and middle east countries.

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